REPUBLIKA.CO.ID, JAKARTA - Director Executive of Maarif Institute, Fajar Riza Ul Haq said that popularity was not enough to win in next general election.
Good governance and strong coalition are important factors to win people' heart. He predicted three winning parties in the next election were Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDIP), Golkar Party, and Democratic Party.
"Whoever wins the election, he or she must form a coalition with the winning party. For example, if PDIP wins in legislative election and the party nominates Joko Widodo (now governor of Jakarta) as its presidential candidate, then he must pick his vice presidential candidatefrom Democratic Party or Golkar," Ul Haq said.
Electability of 12 political parties is shown on the list below, based on study conducted by Political Research Center of Indonesian Institute of Sciences (LIPI).
Electability in 2014 election:
1. PDIP (14.99 percent)
2. Golkar Party (14.5 percent)
3. Democratic Party (11.1 percent)
4. Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) (7.4 percent)
5. National Awakening Party (PKB) (5.6 percent)
6. United Development Party (PPP) (2.9 percent)
7. Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) (2.6 percent)
8. National Mandate Party (PAN) (2.5 percent)
9. National Democratic Party (2.2 percent)
10. People's Consience Party (1.9 percent)
11. Crescent Moon and Star Party (PBB) (0.6 percent)